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Tom Seabury

The impact of in-game decision-making on tennis matches

Tennis is a sport that demands not only physical prowess but also sharp mental agility. While technique, endurance, and strength are critical, the ability to make quick, effective in-game decisions often shapes the outcome of a match. These decisions, which range from shot selection to strategic adjustments, can be the difference between winning and losing. Understanding the role of decision-making in tennis and knowing how to refine this skill are essential for players who want to elevate their performance.


The Role of In-Game Decisions


Shot Selection

One of the most critical aspects of decision-making in tennis is shot selection. Players constantly evaluate their options: should they go for a powerful winner down the line or a defensive lob to buy time? The wrong shot at the wrong time can lead to errors, while a well-timed, smartly executed shot can apply pressure on the opponent.


For instance, opting for a drop shot when the opponent is pinned behind the baseline can force them into an awkward position. Similarly, using a high, heavy topspin shot to push a player off the court sets up an opportunity to finish the point at the net. Effective shot selection keeps opponents guessing, disrupting their rhythm and exposing weaknesses.


Adapting to Opponents' Tactics

Tennis matches are a constant chess game. Players must quickly adapt their strategy based on their opponent's style and tendencies. A baseline hitter may dominate in rallies, so the opposing player might decide to incorporate more slice shots or serve-and-volley tactics to break the rhythm.


Adapting mid-match is key. When Rafael Nadal faces aggressive players, he often alters his strategy by increasing the use of spin and positioning deeper in the court to neutralise their power. Conversely, when Novak Djokovic encounters a heavy server, he adjusts his return position to counter effectively, demonstrating the importance of dynamic decision-making.


Managing Pressure Moments

Decisions made under pressure define a player's ability to close out matches. Whether it's converting a break point or saving a match point, tennis demands a balance of risk-taking and composure in these moments.


Players must assess whether to go for a high-risk shot or play it safe, depending on the context. Some excel in these high-pressure moments due to their mental resilience and decision-making under stress. Roger Federer, for example, is known for his calm demeanour during crucial points, making smart, calculated decisions rather than succumbing to pressure.


Physical and Mental Fatigue

Decision-making also plays a significant role in managing physical and mental fatigue. Tennis matches can be gruelling, sometimes lasting over five hours. Fatigue impairs judgment, making players more prone to errors.


Smart players know how to conserve energy during long matches by making decisions that allow them to pace themselves. For example, shortening points with aggressive shots when tired or targeting an opponent's weaker side to minimise movement can preserve energy for key moments. Andy Murray, for example, who was known for his defensive skills, often opts for shorter points when fatigue sets in, ensuring he remains sharp in the later stages of matches.


Developing Decision-Making Skills in Tennis

While some players naturally excel at in-game decision-making, it's a skill that can be developed with the right training and mindset. Here's how players can enhance their ability to make effective decisions on the court:


Practice Match Scenarios

Incorporating match-specific scenarios into practice helps simulate real in-game decision-making. Coaches can create drills that place players in high-pressure situations, forcing them to decide between offensive and defensive plays. For example, practising breakpoints or deuce points with different constraints and conditions helps players learn to make sound choices under stress.


Watch and Analyse Matches

Watching professional matches and analysing the strategies and decisions made by top players is a powerful tool. By breaking down a match, we can observe how the pros adapt their tactics based on opponents and circumstances. Learning from their decision-making process builds a mental library of strategies that can be applied during personal matches.


Mental Training

Developing mental toughness is key to improving decision-making. Tools like visualisation and mindfulness exercises help us stay calm and focused during matches. Visualisation allows us to mentally rehearse various scenarios, building confidence in their decision-making before even stepping on the court. Mindfulness helps reduce the effects of pressure and fatigue by keeping us present and focused, preventing us from making hasty, poorly thought-out decisions.


Learn to Play with a Plan

Having a strategic plan going into a match allows players to make clearer decisions in the heat of competition. We can execute more effectively when we know what we want to achieve with each point (whether it's attacking a weak backhand or forcing the opponent to the net). A clear plan provides a mental roadmap, ensuring that decisions are aligned with long-term strategy rather than being reactive.


Review and Reflect

After each match, players should reflect on their decision-making. What worked? What didn't? Analysing our own performance allows us to identify patterns in our choices and adjust our approach. For instance, if a player repeatedly goes for low-percentage winners at crucial moments, we can focus on playing more consistent tennis during critical points in future matches. Keeping a match journal helps track progress and spot areas for improvement.



In tennis, in-game decision-making is as crucial as technical skill. The decisions players make (whether it's choosing the right shot, adjusting to an opponent's tactics, or handling pressure moments) directly shape the outcome of a match.


By actively working on this skill through practice, analysis, and mental training, players can develop their decision-making abilities and gain a significant competitive edge. Ultimately, the best tennis players are not just the fastest or strongest - they are the smartest.




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